OK, the billyvan trade grade machine:
Del Fuego Phoenix trades Christopher Molinar (QB) to Shadow Dancers for Round 2, 4, 5 picks. Picks made so far:
2037 2-24: Eddie Ward (LG)
2037 4-1: Williams Yoder (C)
2038 Round 5
Billy's Grade:
A. Looks like he ripped off the Shadow Dancers. Molinar is never going to be star QB, but Ward looks like a beast on the OL. One of billy's best trades.
----
Combo Trade:
Del Fuego Phoenix trade Clarence Harp for round 2 and 3 picks from Pirates, and then trades Sam Evans to the Pirates for Harp and a better second round pick. Net trade is Evans for a third rounder and move up in the second round. Billy also absorbs a ridiculous cap hit for the trades. Picks were used as follows:
2036 2-4: Daniel McCrea (RB)
2037 3-16: Ashley Rodriguez (LT)
Billy's grade:
C-. Evans is aging, but still a useful receiver. Meanwhile, billy traded away the third rounder and McCrea didn't pan out as a starter and now an RB, but might resurrect his career there. The cap hit makes this deal a lot worse, but in the abstract, aging Evans for two draft picks doesn't sound that bad. If McCrea becomes a start RB, maybe this looks like a win! After all, aging Evans didn't set the world on fire in Independence last year.
----
Del Fuego Phoenix trade 3rd, 5th and 6th round picks for Philip Lim (RT). Picks used so far on:
2037 5-1: Clarence Manley (WR)
2037 6-1: Walter Jackson (RT)
Billy's grade:
D. Lim is his starting RT, but Jackson would be just as good I think. Manley is in the 80s in default rating, and there's still a third round pick to come. Billy paid a lot for an old RT that could retire this year and who isn't very good anyways. 3rd round picks are no guarantee of course, so aging RT for 3rd, 5th and 6th doesn't sound bad on paper, but if the aging RT is no good and he could have signed a much better free agent and kept the picks AND the picks turned out good, this trade looks bad.
----
Del Fuego Phoenix trades 2 first round picks for: David Hooks (WLB), Michael Huber (FS), Ross McKibben (MLB), Tom Hubbard (CB). One of the picks became #1 overall, and Pirates selected
2037 1-1: Ulysses Lucia (MLB)
One first round still to be drafted.
Billy's grade:
D. Yes, this was the trade that started it all, but actually, viewed from billy's perspective, all four players he traded for are still on his roster AND starters. He paid 2 first rounders to get 4 starting defensive players. One can debate how good they are, but they are better than anyone he had on his team, hence why they are still starters this year. First round picks don't guarantee any starters. Of course, Lucia looks on paper like a super star LB that will be playing for the next 15 years and is probably going to be more impactful than all those 4 starters combined. But I can't say it is a total rip off when you get four starters out of the deal. Of course, they were all age 28 and older too. So we all agree it was a bad deal for billy - no one would trade Lucia for those four guys today, let alone an additional first rounder. But not a total rip off.
---
Del Fuego Phoenix sends Antonio Harris (WR) to the Panthers for Leon Hill (RB) and 4th and 3rd round pick. Pick used so far;
2036 4-24: Shane Jarvis (DT)
Billy's grade:
B-. What's this? A reasonable trade? Well, that's only when viewed in isolation. (see next trade for why this one is actually pretty bad) But he gave up his #1 WR and got a younger RB1 in return. And netted a third round pick in the process. And that 4th rounder even looks usable. The problem is that billy never runs, so the WR sure would have been a lot more useful. Also: he gave up a lot to get that WR. See next
----
Del Fuego Phoenix trade a first rounder and 3 third rounders to Terror for Antonio Harris (WR) and a 7th round pick.
Picks so far:
2036 1-13: Don Polanco (DT)
2036 3-14: Richard Keaton (LT)
2037 3-1: Jonathon Humes (RB)
Billy's grade:
C-. He gave up a lot of draft capital to get a WR1. The Terror used that pick to get a strong DT and other pieces. Billy made it worse by trading that WR1 less than a year later. So he traded a 1 plus 3 thirds for an RB and a third. And he doesn't even run. So net trade is 1st and two 3rds for a speed 74 RB1. Given how many RBs folks have dragged off the street and turned into stars (the Scott Cospers of the world) this has to look bad in total. But had he kept Bryant and he played well the next four years, it could have been justifiable!
That's if for now. Might look deeper later. But early conclusions - while billy consistently loses the trades he makes, I don't think he's being totally ripped off in the abstract. I think the way he is using the players and how quickly he gives up on them is skewing the results too. These aren't trades I would make, but in the abstract I don't think anyone here could say, at the time the trades were made, that no reasonable person could have pulled the trigger on these moves.
Last edited at 11/03/2021 5:55 pm